If you’d like the full explanation for Points Over Expectation (POE), you can find it in the About the Data tab.
If you’d like a short explanation on POE, you’ve come to the right place.
POE is an efficiency impact stat, measuring a player’s impact as a scorer and primary defender.
POE uses league average efficiencies per possession in each Synergy play type to set an expectation. Then the stat tallies the points scored/conceded by each player and compares that to what an average player would be expected to score/concede on the same possessions.
What is expectation? Expectation is to score/concede the league average points per possession (PPP) for each possession, based on Synergy play types (post up, isolation, cuts, etc.).
The idea behind POE is that not every shot is created equal. A dunk should be expected to score more points than a shot at the elbow. And defending a spot up is different from defending a post up.
The offensive of POE component is called Created Points Over Expectation (cPOE).
The defensive of POE component is called Defensive Points Over Expectation (dPOE).
Again, if you’d like the full explanation for Points Over Expectation (POE), you can find it in the About the Data tab.